Championship, R19 (1-3 Dec, 2018)

The Derby County fans had fun on Wednesday night, despite seeing their side contrive to lose against 10-man Stoke. That fun was had at the expense of former Rams manager, player and native Gary Rowett, now manager of Stoke. He was greeted with hundreds of snakes, chucked around the stands by gleeful and venomous Derby supporters. The Rams need to get back down to business this weekend. The Model has them down as likely winners at home to Swansea (50%), with a forecast scoreline of 1-0 (17%).

Remarkably the Venky’s still own and run Blackburn Rovers, but you don’t hear much about them any more. They are now achieving Championship mediocrity, and look unlikely to get relegated or threaten the playoffs. They face Sheffield Wednesday this weekend at home, and the Model at least suggests Rovers fans should have something to cheer about, with a 43% chance of victory, and a forecast scoreline of 2-1 (9%).

The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Birmingham Preston 1-0 12 41 30
Blackburn Sheffield Wed 2-1 9 43 29
Bolton Wigan 0-1 13 31 41
Derby Swansea 1-0 17 50 23
Middlesbrough Aston Villa 1-0 14 49 24
Norwich Rotherham 1-0 20 61 16
Notts Forest Ipswich 1-0 17 60 17
QPR Hull 1-0 11 52 22
Reading Stoke 0-1 15 32 39
Sheff Utd Leeds 1-1 12 38 33
West Brom Brentford 2-1 9 52 22
Bristol City Millwall 2-1 9 43 29

 

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