Leagues One and Two carry on, for those teams focussing on the league. Three games in League One, and seven in League Two. Three 1-1 draws predicted in League One (13%, 12%, 13%), reflecting three tight games expected where in every case the home team (Charlton, Rochdale and Scunthorpe) are 36% likely to win, and the away team (Sunderland, Burton and Coventry) 35% likely.
Some tight games in League Two also. Can Macclesfield leapfrog Cambridge at the bottom, and escape the relegation zone? The Model thinks there’s about a 12% chance of that happening, assuming the outcomes in the two matches are independent of each other. Cambridge to draw 1-1 (13%) with Stevenage in an East of England derby, and Macclesfield to draw 0-0 (20%) with Swindon.