The last 32 teams in the FA Cup square up this weekend, starting in seconds at Ashton Gate where Bristol City face Bolton. The Model expects Bristol City to win 1-0 (15%).
The only “shock” (which isn’t a shock by virtue of it not being the less likely outcome) is Portsmouth to beat QPR 1-0 (18%).
| Forecast | Win (%) | |||||
| Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |||
| Friday | Arsenal | Man Utd | 1-0 | 11% | 39% | 33% |
| Friday | Bristol C | Bolton | 1-0 | 15% | 64% | 16% |
| Saturday | Accrington | Derby | 0-1 | 13% | 23% | 52% |
| Saturday | AFC Wim | West Ham | 1-2 | 9% | 15% | 64% |
| Saturday | Brighton | West Brom | 2-1 | 10% | 48% | 25% |
| Saturday | Doncaster | Oldham | 1-0 | 13% | 57% | 19% |
| Saturday | Man City | Burnley | 1-0 | 14% | 76% | 9% |
| Saturday | M’bro | Newport | 1-0 | 18% | 76% | 9% |
| Saturday | Millwall | Everton | 0-2 | 10% | 27% | 46% |
| Saturday | Newcastle | Watford | 1-0 | 14% | 39% | 33% |
| Saturday | P’mouth | QPR | 1-0 | 18% | 38% | 34% |
| Saturday | S’bury | Wolves | 0-1 | 17% | 18% | 60% |
| Saturday | Swansea | G’ham | 4-0 | 9% | 66% | 14% |
| Sunday | C Palace | Tottenham | 1-2 | 9% | 25% | 49% |
| Sunday | Chelsea | Sheff Wed | 2-0 | 18% | 77% | 9% |
| Monday | Barnet | Brentford | 0-1 | 14% | 15% | 65% |
Scorecasting Economists 