Premier League, R24 (2-4 Feb)

Newcastle spent money. Breaking the longest-standing club transfer record in modern Premier League history. The Model doesn’t factor this in, unless new signings start to improve a team’s form and results. So unsurprisingly, Spurs are still heavy favourites to beat Newcastle (62%) at their North London squat. The forecast scoreline is 1-0 (16%).

The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 25 of the Premier League:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Brighton Watford 1-0 12 39 34
Burnley Southampton 1-0 11 41 32
Crystal Palace Fulham 2-1 10 56 20
Cardiff Bournemouth 1-2 8 30 42
Chelsea Huddersfield 1-0 18 71 12
Everton Wolves 1-0 13 39 33
Spurs Newcastle 1-0 16 62 16
Leicester Manchester Utd 1-2 8 27 46
Manchester City Arsenal 3-1 8 63 16
West Ham Liverpool 0-1 18 20 57
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