England’s second city currently lacks a Premier League side (as I wouldn’t include Wolves as a Birmingham based team). Villa are trying to put this right. They are within touching distance of the playoffs, and still have a slim hope of getting promotion. Tonight they host high-flying Sheffield in front of the Holt End. The Model makes Villa favourites (41%) and gives a scoreline forecast of 1-0 (11%).
Forest have dropped away from the promotion picture, sitting in 12th place in the league. They host Brentford, who for the first time in a few seasons are not over-achieving. The Model makes Forest marginal favourites with a 38% chance of a win, and a most likely scoreline of 1-0 (15%).
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
|Aston Villa||Sheff Utd||1-0||11||41||32|