Lower Leagues, midweek April 9

Those all important games in hand. Who will make the most of them? In the epic League One relegation battle a crucial game takes place in the heart of Lancashire, as Accrington host Rochdale. The Model fancies Stanley to turn Dale over 2-1 (10%), edging Accrington closer to safety, and Rochdale closer to the drop.

At the other end, Sunderland play one of their two games in hand when they host Burton. The Model thinks they will leapfrog the Yorkshiremen into the second automatic promotion spot tonight with a 1-0 win (16%).

In League Two Macclesfield face a tough task in their game in hand against play-off chasing Exeter City. The Model thinks that Macc will still be in the drop zone at 10pm tonight (0-1, 13%).

Forecast Win (%)
League One Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
Accrington Rochdale 2-1 10% 47% 27%
Sunderland Burton 1-0 16% 56% 20%
Wycombe Charlton 0-1 12% 25% 50%
Forecast Win (%)
League Two Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
Macclesfield Exeter 0-1 13% 34% 39%
Newport Co Swindon 1-0 11% 40% 32%