Women’s Super League, R13 (5-6 Jan)

The WSL and WC are back, after a long winter break. Teams have been busy in the transfer window. WSL is a league of massive competitive inequality, with three of the eleven teams only mustering one win each all season so far.

Our WSL and WC forecasts for R13 are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Birmingham Reading 1-0 15 57 24
Bristol Man City 0-2 15 8 83
Chelsea Everton 2-0 15 89 5
Liverpool Brighton 2-0 11 59 23
West Ham Arsenal 0-4 11 10 79
WC
Charlton Durham 1-2 7 36 43
Crystal Palace Millwall 1-0 10 53 28
Leicester Lewes 2-1 8 41 38
Man Utd London Bees 5-0 13 83 8
Sheffield Spurs 1-2 9 36 43

 

Advertisements

Women’s Super League, R12 (9 Dec)

Our WSL and WC forecasts for R12 are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Brighton Chelsea 0-3 14 7 85
Everton Bristol 1-0 11 41 38
Man City Birmingham 1-0 23 76 12
Reading Liverpool 2-0 12 71 15
Yeovil West Ham 0-1 16 11 78
WC
Aston Villa Sheffield 0-1 9 23 60
Durham Manchester Utd 0-2 20 28 53
Lewes Charlton 1-2 9 26 55
London Bees Leicester 1-2 6 35 45
Spurs Crystal Palace 2-1 10 71 15

 

Women’s Super League, R11 (2 Dec)

Our WSL and WC forecasts for R11 are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Birmingham Yeovil 2-0 21 91 4
Brighton West Ham 0-1 5 32 48
Chelsea Reading 1-0 16 74 13
Everton Liverpool 1-2 8 30 50
Man City Arsenal 1-0 12 48 32
WC
Crystal Palace Aston Villa 2-0 10 61 21
Leicester Charlton 1-2 8 33 46
Lewes Manchester Utd 0-5 14 16 69
Millwall Sheffield 0-1 9 22 60
Spurs Durham 2-1 9 46 34

 

Women’s Super League, R10 (24-25 Nov)

Our WSL and WC forecasts for R10 are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Arsenal Brighton 4-0 13 90 4
Liverpool Birmingham 0-1 14 21 61
Reading Everton 2-0 13 76 12
West Ham Bristol 0-1 11 36 43
Yeovil man City 0-5 15 5 89
WC
Aston Villa London Bees 2-1 9 46 33
Durham Leicester 3-1 8 71 15
Charlton Crystal Palace 2-1 10 64 19
Man Utd Millwall 5-0 13 84 8
Sheffield Lewes 1-0 14 48 31

 

Women’s Super League, R9 (17-18 Nov)

Our WSL and WC forecasts for R9 are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Birmingham West Ham 2-0 16 79 10
Brighton Reading 0-2 14 16 68
Bristol Liverpool 1-2 10 30 49
Chelsea Yeovil 6-0 13 93 3
Everton Arsenal 0-2 11 9 81
WC
Crystal Palace Man Utd 0-2 18 20 63
Lewes Aston Villa 2-1 9 74 13
London Bees Sheffield 0-1 9 19 64
Millwall Durham 1-2 10 49 65
Spurs Charlton 2-1 8 50 29

 

Women’s Super League, R7 (26-28 Oct)

Our WSL and WC forecasts for R7 are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Man City Reading 1-0 18 84 8
Brighton Yeovil 1-0 16 80 9
Bristol City Arsenal 0-3 10 9 81
Chelsea Liverpool 3-0 10 80 9
Everton West Ham 3-0 10 59 23
WC
Crystal Palace Sheffield 1-0 14 44 35
Leicester Man Utd 0-5 14 23 59
London Bees Durham 1-2 9 14 72
Millwall Charlton 1-2 9 26 54
Spurs Aston Villa 2-1 9 80 9

 

Women’s Super League, R6 (20/10/2018)

Arsenal put 5 past Chelsea last weekend, and remain the only team in the top tier with a perfect record, with a +18 goal difference to boot. On Sunday they face Reading. The Model forecasts a 2-1 (10%) victory to Arsenal, but an overall win likelihood of 78%.

In the Championship, Millwall Lionesses have yet to win this season. This weekend’s trip to Cheshunt FC to face Spurs will probably not chance this record, with the Model forecasting just an 18% of a win for the Lionesses.

The rest of our WSL forecasts are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
WSL
Arsenal Reading 2-1 10 78 11
Birmingham Chelsea 0-1 12 23 58
Brighton Man City 0-3 10 6 86
West Ham Liverpool 1-4 7 27 54
Yeovil Bristol City 0-2 10 10 79
WC
Charlton Sheffield 2-1 10 48 31
Durham Crystal Palace 1-0 12 57 24
London Bees Lewes 1-2 7 15 71
Leicester Aston Villa 2-1 7 73 14
Spurs Millwall 2-1 10 66 18