It’s one thing to make forecasts; anyone can do that. But we’re keen on making our forecasts better, and we’re happy to admit they are far from perfect. We’re economists after all, so we’re used to forecast failures.
In this part of our site we’ll add information relating to our ongoing evaluation of the forecasts we’ve made. That is, once games have taken place, we’ll look at just how far out we actually were in our forecasts.
[Note: Up to 17th August this evaluation was based on the most likely (unconditional) score forecast. From 17th August, as we refine our forecasts, it is based on the most likely result and subsequent (conditional) score forecast]